ACC Basketball

Hump Day, Holler!

Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

Some games, get their own posts…here’s looking at you Duke/North Carolina and Louisville/Syracuse. Others don’t

VIRGINIA TECH AT MIAMI

The Hurricanes are playing their fourth game in 11 days, their last one coming Monday night, due to a one day postponement, that ended up going to double overtime (against Boston College). At least they escaped with a win and head home to face Virginia Tech. Until running into Clemson this past Saturday, the Hokies had actually played some decent basketball. Since January 25, they managed to pull out a couple of wins over Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech and outside of a 21-point loss to the Tigers, their last four loses were by a combined 16 points, including a three-point loss to Virginia.

This one should be interesting because you have a team that can’t score inside (Virginia Tech is last in the conference in 2p%, according to Ken Pom) vs. a team that can’t stop points in the paint (Miami is last in 2p% defensively). Also you have Miami who doesn’t turn the ball over (4th best in conference) facing Tech (second best in the ACC in forcing turnovers). You also have the second worst offensive rebounding team (Canes) facing the worst defensive rebounding team (Hokies).

In the end, if Miami holds off on launching a ton of threes and attacks Buzz Williams’ squad inside, doing what they do best (getting to the free throw line), the Hurricanes should cruise. However, this is still Miami and they’ll find a way to let the Hokies hang around.

WORTHLESS PREDICTION: Miami, 72-70

BOSTON COLLEGE AT FLORIDA STATE

The Seminoles may technically be chasing an NCAA Tournament bid, but with their RPI, they have a better shot landing dates with Playboy’s Playmates of the month, 2014. Yet, if they dare to dream, then they need to avoid letting bad teams like Boston College come in and pull off upsets.

Behind the play of Xavier Rathan-Mayes, the Seminoles have improved offensively as the year has gone on, but he’ll meet his match with Oliver Hanlan and Aaron Brown. The Eagles guards are the only thing Boston College has going for them, as the pair continue to score more than half their teams points on most nights.

The difference should be inside. Forget the fact that the Seminoles have three 7-footers to match up with Dennis “Rock Hands” Clifford. Jarquez Smith and Montay Brandon have the size and athletic ability to own the Eagles’ defense; a defense that couldn’t stop a small child from scoring at least a dozen.

Boston College is last or second-to-last in conference play in overall defensive efficiency, effective FG%, FTA/FGA, FT%, Block% and Steal%. They’re bottom four in 3p% and 2p% (all according to Ken Pom). My point? Florida State hasn’t broken 80 in regulation since they scored 93 points against the powerhouse that is North Florida. They should be able to do it again.

WORTHLESS PREDICTION: Florida State, 80-67 

 

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